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Start with mainland China. By 2050, careprost buy now home to 93 million people could be lower than the height of the local average annual careprost buy flood. Low-lying Jiangsu Province, which abuts Shanghai, careprost buy also vulnerable. So are Tianjin, the main port for the capital city of Beijing, and the Pearl River Delta region, an urban agglomeration comprising several Thalidomide (Thalomid)- Multum mainland cities and the careprost buy administrative regions of Hong Kong and Macau (explore map at coastal.

Emissions pathway: moderate emissions cuts (RCP 4. Sea level rise model: Kopp et careprost buy. Future coastal flood threats in Kolkata, India Kolkata is home to 15 million people, and that number is growing. Finally, take Bangladesh and Vietnam, where coastal land currently home careprost buy 42 million careprost buy 31 million people, respectively, could be threatened with saltwater flooding at least once per year at midcentury.

As sea levels continue to rise throughout the century, chronic flooding will spread and more land will be permanently lost careprost buy the ocean. The bad news is again concentrated in Asia. China, Bangladesh, India, Vietnam, Indonesia, and Thailand are home to the greatest number of careprost buy who today live on land that could be threatened by permanent inundation by 2100151 million in total, and 43 million in China alone.

But the danger of permanent inundation is by no careprost buy be limited to Asia. In 19 countries, from Nigeria and Brazil to Egypt and careprost buy United Kingdom, land now careprost buy to at least one million people could fall permanently below the high tide line at the end of the century and become permanently inundated, in the absence of careprost buy defenses.

The residents of small island states could face particularly devastating losses. Three of every four people in the Marshall Islands now live on land that could lie below high tide in the next eighty years.

In the Maldives, the figure is one in three. And well before that land is flooded, residents will face saltwater intrusion into freshwater supplies and frequent flooding. In small islands states, as elsewhere, land could careprost buy uninhabitable well before it disappears.

Even as land home to 200 million people today will be threatened by permanent inundation, areas now home to an additional 360 million will face the threat of at-least annual floods, totalling more than half-a-billion people on highly vulnerable land. Although values derived using CoastalDEM represent cutting-edge projections of human exposure to global sea careprost buy rise this century, there are several caveats to note about the findings described in this report:1) Bias in CoastalDEM.

CoastalDEM represents an important improvement over SRTM. But in places where it is possible to compare CoastalDEM compare against lidar, CoastalDEM still underestimates population exposure, meaning that, on average, CoastalDEM appears to overestimate coastal elevation in populated areas.

As a result, projections based on CoastalDEM may underestimate the extent of population exposure to future flooding. This report relies on 2010 LandScan data for careprost buy population estimates and refers to careprost buy data as current. However, global population has grown since 2010 careprost buy is combining to grow further this century, including in countries exposed to sea level rise and annual flooding.

Net migration toward or away from low-lying areas will also contribute to population change. Finally, the relatively coarse spatial resolution of LandScan data likely afatinib some error into results (LandScan estimates population on a global grid of roughly 1km x 1km cells).

In recent years, scientists have suggested that the sensitivity of Greenland and especially Antarctic ice sheets to global warming could make the global ocean rise more quickly than previously believed. Those projections are near the upper end of current scientific judgement about the plausible range of outcomes.

However, this report focuses on median projections from a sea level rise model that does not incorporate the higher end of potential ice sheet sensitivity (Kopp et al. The potential response of major ice sheets to rapid warming remains an area of deep and consequential uncertainty.



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